PSG 2-0 Toulouse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Super Cup, 3 Jan 2024

PSG
2-0 HT 2-0
Toulouse
📅03/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
France - Super Cup – 2023/2024

PSG vs Toulouse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.74
Over 2.5
64%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.5
2-3 Goals
38%
2.13
4-5 Goals
27%
2.52
6+ Goals
16%
5.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.36
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
26.5
X/1
18%
3.51
X/2
6%
25.5
X/X
9%
9.97
2/1
7%
21.75
2/2
4%
18.35
2/X
4%
25.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
76%
-10.7pp
20%
Draw
15%
+4.8pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+5.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
33%
+3.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
67%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.8pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSG v Toulouse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSG EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Toulouse EU Bookmakers 11%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+55% / +126% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
518 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 71%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
12.2 Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards –

PSG vs Toulouse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Toulouse
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.33 xG 0.83
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
596 Passes 242
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Toulouse Toulouse 1-1 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
04.02.2023 PSG PSG 2-1 HT 1-1 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
31.08.2022 Toulouse Toulouse 0-3 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
25.08.2019 PSG PSG 4-0 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
31.03.2019 Toulouse Toulouse 0-1 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
24.11.2018 PSG PSG 1-0 HT 1-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1

PSG 2-0 Toulouse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG
2-0
AWAY Toulouse
1.39 xG 1.22
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
675 Passes 323
93% Pass Accuracy 85%
37 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSG vs Toulouse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG beat Toulouse 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSG had 65% of the ball to Toulouse's 35%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.39 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for PSG and 0.33 for Toulouse.

What was the final score of PSG vs Toulouse?

PSG 2-0 Toulouse in the France - Super Cup on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSG vs Toulouse?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split PSG 66%, draw 20%, Toulouse 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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