Foolad Khuzestan 1-0 Nassaji Mazandaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 3 Jan 2024

📅03/01/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
19%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.03
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
5.81
6+ Goals
6%
42.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.1pp
35%
Draw
29%
+5.6pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-4.5pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.6pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foolad Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Nassaji Mazandaran EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -19%
1.00/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.09
-12% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foolad Khuzestan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nassaji Mazandaran
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
06.04.2023 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 2-0 HT 1-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
20.10.2022 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 2-1 HT 1-1 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
01.04.2022 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-2 HT 0-1 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
10.12.2021 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 1-1 HT 1-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
14.05.2021 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 1-0 HT 1-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
30.12.2020 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 1-0 HT 1-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
POST-MATCH Foolad Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foolad Khuzestan edged past Nassaji Mazandaran 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Foolad Khuzestan as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foolad Khuzestan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Foolad Khuzestan and 0.67 for Nassaji Mazandaran.

What was the final score of Foolad Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?

Foolad Khuzestan 1-0 Nassaji Mazandaran in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foolad Khuzestan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foolad Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Foolad Khuzestan 46%, draw 35%, Nassaji Mazandaran 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Foolad Khuzestan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Foolad Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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