03/01/2024
·
13:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Yasa vs Sepidrood Rasht Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No Pick
58%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
40%
4-5
20%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
53%
Home Win
51%
26%
Draw
25%
21%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Yasa v Sepidrood Rasht — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Yasa
The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sepidrood Rasht
The Market 28%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
386 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
283 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Yasa vs Sepidrood Rasht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sepidrood Rasht nicked a narrow win over Yasa 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Yasa at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
What was the final score of Yasa vs Sepidrood Rasht?
Yasa 0-1 Sepidrood Rasht in the Iran - 2nd Division on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Yasa vs Sepidrood Rasht?
Before kick-off our model rated a Yasa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Yasa 53%, draw 26%, Sepidrood Rasht 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Yasa) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Yasa)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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