Al Nasar 1-1 Khaitan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 3 Jan 2024

Al Nasar
1-1 HT 0-0
Khaitan
📅03/01/2024 · 🕒17:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Kuwait - Premier League – 2023/2024

Al Nasar vs Khaitan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.51
Over 2.5
66%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
2.03
No
38%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.91
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
30%
2.72
6+ Goals
15%
7.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.65
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
18.65
X/1
19%
3.63
X/2
5%
14.9
X/X
8%
7.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.5
2/2
10%
10.95
2/X
4%
18.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.5 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.1pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.3pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
36%
-2.0pp
66%
Over 2.5
64%
+2.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
45%
+16.6pp
38%
BTTS No
55%
-16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Nasar v Khaitan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Khaitan EU Bookmakers 17%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.98/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.79
-14% / +133% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Al Nasar vs Khaitan Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasar
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Khaitan
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
The Meetings
06.10.2023 Khaitan Khaitan 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
11.05.2021 Khaitan Khaitan 4-2 HT 1-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
09.03.2021 Al Nasar Al Nasar 1-1 HT 1-0 Khaitan Khaitan KUV
25.10.2020 Khaitan Khaitan 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
POST-MATCH Al Nasar vs Khaitan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasar and Khaitan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Nasar at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Nasar had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Al Nasar and 1.25 for Khaitan.

What was the final score of Al Nasar vs Khaitan?

Al Nasar 1-1 Khaitan in the Kuwait - Premier League on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasar vs Khaitan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasar win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Nasar 57%, draw 21%, Khaitan 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Nasar), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nasar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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3 Jan 2024
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