Al Jabalain 1-0 Al Orubah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 3 Jan 2024

📅03/01/2024 · 🕒15:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.0pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jabalain EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.58/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.52
+9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jabalain
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Orubah
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
08.03.2023 Al Orubah Al Orubah 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain SUUD1
12.10.2022 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain 1-3 HT 1-3 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD1
18.01.2022 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD1
07.09.2021 Al Orubah Al Orubah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jabalain
1-0
AWAY Al Orubah
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Jabalain vs Al Orubah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jabalain squeezed past Al Orubah 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Jabalain as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Jabalain had 58% of the ball to Al Orubah's 42%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Orubah led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Al Jabalain and 1.75 for Al Orubah.

What was the final score of Al Jabalain vs Al Orubah?

Al Jabalain 1-0 Al Orubah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jabalain vs Al Orubah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jabalain win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Jabalain 43%, draw 28%, Al Orubah 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Jabalain), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Jabalain) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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