Gaddafi 2-1 BUL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 3 Jan 2024

Gaddafi
2-1 HT 2-0
BUL
📅03/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.45
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
65%
-15.8pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.9pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaddafi EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY BUL EU Bookmakers 18%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.20
-55% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
413 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaddafi
0W-1D-0L
AWAY BUL
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.11.2021 BUL BUL 1-1 HT 0-0 Gaddafi Gaddafi UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaddafi
2-1
AWAY BUL
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Gaddafi vs BUL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaddafi squeezed past BUL 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gaddafi as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gaddafi had 53% of the ball to BUL's 47%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of Gaddafi vs BUL?

Gaddafi 2-1 BUL in the Uganda - Premier League on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaddafi vs BUL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaddafi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gaddafi 49%, draw 27%, BUL 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gaddafi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gaddafi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →