El Kerma 2-1 ASO Chlef — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - National Cup, 3 Jan 2025

📅03/01/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
6.35
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
55%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
13%
+11.3pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
55%
Away Win
64%
-9.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.3pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Kerma EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY ASO Chlef EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -9%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
238 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Kerma
2-1
AWAY ASO Chlef
29% Ball Possession 71%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH El Kerma vs ASO Chlef
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Kerma nicked a narrow win over ASO Chlef 2-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had ASO Chlef at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, El Kerma had 29% of the ball to ASO Chlef's 71%, shots finished 6-18.

What was the final score of El Kerma vs ASO Chlef?

El Kerma 2-1 ASO Chlef in the Algeria - National Cup on 03/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Kerma vs ASO Chlef?

Before kick-off our model rated an ASO Chlef win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split El Kerma 24%, draw 21%, ASO Chlef 55%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ASO Chlef) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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