Arba Minch Kenema 0-1 Sidama Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 3 Jan 2025

📅03/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
48%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
28%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.7pp
48%
Away Win
41%
+7.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.4pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sidama Bunna EU Bookmakers 45%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/2.10
-3% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -58%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
0-1
AWAY Sidama Bunna
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arba Minch Kenema vs Sidama Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sidama Bunna nicked a narrow win over Arba Minch Kenema 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sidama Bunna as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arba Minch Kenema had 44% of the ball to Sidama Bunna's 56%, shots finished 5-11.

What was the final score of Arba Minch Kenema vs Sidama Bunna?

Arba Minch Kenema 0-1 Sidama Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 03/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arba Minch Kenema vs Sidama Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sidama Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arba Minch Kenema 24%, draw 28%, Sidama Bunna 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sidama Bunna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sidama Bunna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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