Kocaelispor 3-0 Iğdır FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 3 Jan 2025

Kocaelispor
3-0 HT 2-0
Iğdır FK
📅03/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Kocaelispor vs Iğdır FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
4.29
6+ Goals
8%
21.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 37% vs market 30.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.43
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.6
X/1
21%
3.91
X/2
10%
8.54
X/X
17%
4.55
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
8%
7.13
2/X
4%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.1pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kocaelispor v Iğdır FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 25%
-18% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.38/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.33
-21% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
23.7 Crosses 11.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3

Kocaelispor 3-0 Iğdır FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kocaelispor
3-0
AWAY Iğdır FK
0.78 xG 0.30
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 4
196 Passes 477
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 11
9 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kocaelispor vs Iğdır FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor swept aside Iğdır FK 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kocaelispor as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Kocaelispor had 32% of the ball to Iğdır FK's 68%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.78 to 0.30.

What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Iğdır FK?

Kocaelispor 3-0 Iğdır FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 03/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Iğdır FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 47%, draw 28%, Iğdır FK 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kocaelispor), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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