Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 1-2 Abu Qair Semad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.53
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.3pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.6pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.1pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl Kafr El Dawar EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Abu Qair Semad EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.82/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.72
+5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
187 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Abu Qair Semad
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
09.02.2025 Abu Qair Semad Abu Qair Semad 1-0 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar MSR2
13.10.2024 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 0-0 Abu Qair Semad Abu Qair Semad MSR2
29.01.2024 Abu Qair Semad Abu Qair Semad 0-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar MSR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
1-2
AWAY Abu Qair Semad
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ghazl Kafr El Dawar vs Abu Qair Semad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abu Qair Semad nicked a narrow win over Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Abu Qair Semad as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ghazl Kafr El Dawar had 40% of the ball to Abu Qair Semad's 60%, shots finished 6-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Abu Qair Semad led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Ghazl Kafr El Dawar and 0.33 for Abu Qair Semad.

What was the final score of Ghazl Kafr El Dawar vs Abu Qair Semad?

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 1-2 Abu Qair Semad in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl Kafr El Dawar vs Abu Qair Semad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Abu Qair Semad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 24%, draw 33%, Abu Qair Semad 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Abu Qair Semad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Abu Qair Semad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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3 Jan 2026
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