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Alhama (K) vs Madrid II (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alhama (K) v Madrid II (K) — Team-Based Signals
Alhama (K) 3-2 Madrid II (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Alhama (K) squeezed past Madrid II (K) 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Madrid II (K) at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alhama (K) had 52% of the ball to Madrid II (K)'s 48%, shots finished 11-5.
What was the final score of Alhama (K) vs Madrid II (K)?
Alhama (K) 3-2 Madrid II (K) in the Spain - Women's Primera Federasyon League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alhama (K) vs Madrid II (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Madrid II (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Alhama (K) 14%, draw 25%, Madrid II (K) 61%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Madrid II (K)), BTTS No went the other way.