Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ashdod Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hapoel Tel Aviv v Ashdod — Team-Based Signals
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ashdod Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Hapoel Tel Aviv 3-1 Ashdod — Actual Match Statistics
Hapoel Tel Aviv saw off Ashdod 3-1. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hapoel Tel Aviv as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.85, about 54%.
On the day, Hapoel Tel Aviv had 63% of the ball to Ashdod's 37%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.80 to 0.57.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ashdod led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 1.50 for Ashdod.
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ashdod Result & Final Score
Hapoel Tel Aviv 3 - 1 Ashdod in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ashdod Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Tel Aviv 42%, draw 29%, Ashdod 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Tel Aviv), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.