Madrid CFF (K) 3-3 Sevilla (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.75
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
53%
-19.9pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.2pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.1pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
3-3
AWAY Sevilla (K)
1.49 xG 1.93
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
265 Passes 275
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Madrid CFF (K) vs Sevilla (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madrid CFF (K) and Sevilla (K) shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Madrid CFF (K) had 49% of the ball to Sevilla (K)'s 51%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.49 to 1.93.

What was the final score of Madrid CFF (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Madrid CFF (K) 3-3 Sevilla (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madrid CFF (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madrid CFF (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Madrid CFF (K) 33%, draw 33%, Sevilla (K) 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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