03/02/2024
·
22:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Ordino vs Atletic America Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
BTTS Yes
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
20%
Draw
11%
11%
Away Win
7%
36%
Under 2.5
28%
64%
Over 2.5
72%
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
47%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ordino v Atletic America — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ordino
EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY
Atletic America
EU Bookmakers 9%
-9% /
-9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+13% /
+13%
1.37/0.74
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.41/4.58
-53%
/
-11%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-40%
/
-47%
60%
Ball Possession
40%
17
Total Shots
8
8
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
2
432 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
270 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
2.3
Ordino vs Atletic America Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ordino
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Atletic America
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
51%
Ball Possession
49%
21
Total Shots
5
8
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
0
3
Yellow Cards
4
The Meetings
05.11.2023
Atletic America
1-2
HT 0-2
Ordino
AND
Ordino
AND
POST-MATCH
Ordino vs Atletic America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ordino squeezed past Atletic America 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ordino as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Ordino vs Atletic America?
Ordino 1-0 Atletic America in the Andorra - 1st Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ordino vs Atletic America?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ordino win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Ordino 69%, draw 20%, Atletic America 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordino) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Ordino)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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