Excursionistas 1-2 Comunicaciones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Primier B Metropol, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No Pick
62%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
42%
4-5
16%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
60%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excursionistas The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Comunicaciones The Market 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Excursionistas vs Comunicaciones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Comunicaciones edged past Excursionistas 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Excursionistas at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Excursionistas vs Comunicaciones?

Excursionistas 1-2 Comunicaciones in the Argentina - Primier B Metropol on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excursionistas vs Comunicaciones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excursionistas win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Excursionistas 53%, draw 26%, Comunicaciones 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Excursionistas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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