03/02/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Teuta Durres vs Skenderbeu Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
39%
4-5
17%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
43%
Home Win
45%
28%
Draw
28%
29%
Away Win
27%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Teuta Durres v Skenderbeu — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Teuta Durres
The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Skenderbeu
The Market 31%
-7% /
-7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+79%
/
-10%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
323 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
278 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Teuta Durres vs Skenderbeu Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Teuta Durres
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Skenderbeu
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Teuta Durres vs Skenderbeu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Teuta Durres cruised past Skenderbeu 3-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Teuta Durres as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Teuta Durres vs Skenderbeu?
Teuta Durres 3-0 Skenderbeu in the Albania - Süperlig on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Teuta Durres vs Skenderbeu?
Before kick-off our model rated a Teuta Durres win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Teuta Durres 43%, draw 28%, Skenderbeu 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Teuta Durres), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Teuta Durres)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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