Dessel Sport 1-0 Sporting Charleroi II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1.Amatör League, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.2pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dessel Sport EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi II EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -51% / -51%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -56%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Dessel Sport vs Sporting Charleroi II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dessel Sport nicked a narrow win over Sporting Charleroi II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Dessel Sport found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Dessel Sport vs Sporting Charleroi II?

Dessel Sport 1-0 Sporting Charleroi II in the Belgium - 1.Amatör League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dessel Sport vs Sporting Charleroi II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Charleroi II win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Dessel Sport 34%, draw 31%, Sporting Charleroi II 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Charleroi II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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