Serra vs Jaguare Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Serra v Jaguare — Team-Based Signals
Serra 5-0 Jaguare — Actual Match Statistics
Serra cruised past Jaguare 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Serra as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.
On the day, Serra had 52% of the ball to Jaguare's 48%, shots finished 13-12.
What was the final score of Serra vs Jaguare?
Serra 5-0 Jaguare in the Brazil - Capixaba on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Serra vs Jaguare?
Before kick-off our model rated a Serra win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Serra 55%, draw 19%, Jaguare 27%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Serra), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.