Primavera SP 1-2 Noroeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A2, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
51%
4-5
17%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
13%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.6pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.5pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Primavera SP The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Noroeste The Market 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Primavera SP
1-2
AWAY Noroeste
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Primavera SP vs Noroeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Noroeste nicked a narrow win over Primavera SP 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Noroeste made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Primavera SP had 62% of the ball to Noroeste's 38%, shots finished 17-10.

What was the final score of Primavera SP vs Noroeste?

Primavera SP 1-2 Noroeste in the Brazil - Paulista A2 on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Primavera SP vs Noroeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Primavera SP win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Primavera SP 39%, draw 27%, Noroeste 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Primavera SP), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Primavera SP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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