03/02/2024
·
15:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
2-1
MC Oran vs CR Beni Thour Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
3%
2/X
12%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
27%
Draw
19%
13%
Away Win
10%
48%
Under 2.5
50%
52%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS Yes
39%
50%
BTTS No
61%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MC Oran v CR Beni Thour — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
MC Oran
EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY
CR Beni Thour
EU Bookmakers 14%
-25% /
-25%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-41%
/
-38%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
61%
Ball Possession
39%
16
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
458 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
244 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
MC Oran vs CR Beni Thour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
MC Oran swept aside CR Beni Thour 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had MC Oran as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of MC Oran vs CR Beni Thour?
MC Oran 3-0 CR Beni Thour in the Algeria - National Cup on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MC Oran vs CR Beni Thour?
Before kick-off our model rated a MC Oran win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split MC Oran 59%, draw 27%, CR Beni Thour 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MC Oran), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (MC Oran)
✓ Over 2.5
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