PK-35 ry 1-3 Mikkeli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.59
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.32
6+ Goals
7%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 32% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.0pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PK-35 ry
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mikkeli
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
10.09.2022 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-0 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FINY
31.07.2022 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-2 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
29.05.2022 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 2-0 HT 1-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
03.10.2021 Mikkeli Mikkeli 2-3 HT 1-1 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FINY
19.09.2021 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 3-1 HT 2-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
01.09.2021 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-1 HT 1-1 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PK-35 ry
1-3
AWAY Mikkeli
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH PK-35 ry vs Mikkeli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mikkeli beat PK-35 ry 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was PK-35 ry at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PK-35 ry had 57% of the ball to Mikkeli's 43%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PK-35 ry had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for PK-35 ry and 1.00 for Mikkeli.

What was the final score of PK-35 ry vs Mikkeli?

PK-35 ry 1-3 Mikkeli in the Finland - Ykköscup on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PK-35 ry vs Mikkeli?

Before kick-off our model rated a PK-35 ry win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split PK-35 ry 41%, draw 28%, Mikkeli 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PK-35 ry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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