03/02/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Bayonne vs Onet-le-Chateau Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
45%
4-5
21%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
45%
Home Win
53%
33%
Draw
24%
22%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bayonne v Onet-le-Chateau — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bayonne
The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Onet-le-Chateau
The Market 27%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
11
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
415 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
269 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Bayonne vs Onet-le-Chateau Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Bayonne
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Onet-le-Chateau
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
55%
Ball Possession
45%
12
Total Shots
6
3
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Bayonne vs Onet-le-Chateau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bayonne and Onet-le-Chateau couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Bayonne at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (61%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Bayonne vs Onet-le-Chateau?
Bayonne 1-1 Onet-le-Chateau in the France - National League 3 on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bayonne vs Onet-le-Chateau?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bayonne win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bayonne 45%, draw 33%, Onet-le-Chateau 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayonne) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Bayonne)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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3 Feb 2024