03/02/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-1
ES Fosseenne vs Cagnes-Le Cros Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
Over
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
41%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
35%
Home Win
27%
30%
Draw
26%
35%
Away Win
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ES Fosseenne v Cagnes-Le Cros — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
ES Fosseenne
The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Cagnes-Le Cros
The Market 50%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
6
343 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
313 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
ES Fosseenne vs Cagnes-Le Cros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
ES Fosseenne nicked a narrow win over Cagnes-Le Cros 1-0.
Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; ES Fosseenne found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of ES Fosseenne vs Cagnes-Le Cros?
ES Fosseenne 1-0 Cagnes-Le Cros in the France - National League 3 on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ES Fosseenne vs Cagnes-Le Cros?
Before kick-off our model rated a ES Fosseenne win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split ES Fosseenne 35%, draw 30%, Cagnes-Le Cros 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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