03/02/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
FC Challans vs Sable FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
Over Pick
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
40%
4-5
25%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
15%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 64% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
40%
Home Win
46%
19%
Draw
24%
42%
Away Win
30%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Challans v Sable FC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
FC Challans
The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sable FC
The Market 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+60% /
+60%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+110%
/
-34%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
250 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
242 · 68%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
FC Challans vs Sable FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
FC Challans and Sable FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match split (40% / 19% / 42%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.
What was the final score of FC Challans vs Sable FC?
FC Challans 1-1 Sable FC in the France - National League 3 on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Challans vs Sable FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sable FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Challans 40%, draw 19%, Sable FC 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sable FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Sable FC)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
3 Feb 2024