Naestved 0-3 Fremad Amager — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+7.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
43%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naestved EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 48%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+123% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naestved
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Fremad Amager
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.84 xG 0.21
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 Passes 282
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2023 Naestved Naestved 2-3 HT 1-2 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN1
12.08.2022 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 0-0 HT 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
10.06.2020 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-0 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
17.11.2019 Naestved Naestved 0-1 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN1
30.08.2019 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-0 HT 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
22.06.2019 Naestved Naestved 0-1 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naestved
0-3
AWAY Fremad Amager
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Naestved vs Fremad Amager
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremad Amager swept aside Naestved 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Fremad Amager made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Naestved had 56% of the ball to Fremad Amager's 44%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fremad Amager led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Naestved and 1.17 for Fremad Amager.

What was the final score of Naestved vs Fremad Amager?

Naestved 0-3 Fremad Amager in the Friendlies on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naestved vs Fremad Amager?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naestved win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Naestved 36%, draw 30%, Fremad Amager 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Naestved), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naestved) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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