Groene Ster 2-2 Hoek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Derde Divisie, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.25
Draw
28%
6.26
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
76%
-24.4pp
28%
Draw
13%
+15.2pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Groene Ster EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoek EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +71% / +71%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +140% /
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
446 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Groene Ster
2-2
AWAY Hoek
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 12
POST-MATCH Groene Ster vs Hoek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Groene Ster and Hoek shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Groene Ster at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Groene Ster had 43% of the ball to Hoek's 57%, shots finished 12-14.

What was the final score of Groene Ster vs Hoek?

Groene Ster 2-2 Hoek in the Netherlands - Derde Divisie on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Groene Ster vs Hoek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Groene Ster win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Groene Ster 51%, draw 28%, Hoek 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Groene Ster) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Groene Ster) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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