PSV Eindhoven (K) 3-1 PEC Zwolle (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.38
Over 2.5
45%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.68
No
59%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.2pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.4pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
38%
+17.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
62%
-17.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.5pp
59%
BTTS No
44%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K) EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY PEC Zwolle (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +82% / +82%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+123% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% /
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K)
3-1
AWAY PEC Zwolle (K)
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven (K) got the better of PEC Zwolle (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSV Eindhoven (K) as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven (K) had 58% of the ball to PEC Zwolle (K)'s 42%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K)?

PSV Eindhoven (K) 3-1 PEC Zwolle (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven (K) 55%, draw 19%, PEC Zwolle (K) 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLK1 More Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie
3 Feb 2024
18:30 Telstar (K) vs Ajax (K) Analysis →