Ballinamallard United 6-1 Knockbreda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.18
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.98
Over 2.5
53%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
7.14
2-3 Goals
35%
2.2
4-5 Goals
26%
2.43
6+ Goals
12%
4.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
79%
-18.3pp
22%
Draw
12%
+9.5pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
30%
+17.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
70%
-17.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Knockbreda EU Bookmakers 11%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.88
+28% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -31%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
469 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Knockbreda
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Knockbreda Knockbreda 1-2 HT 1-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
19.08.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-0 HT 2-0 Knockbreda Knockbreda KİRL1
15.04.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 4-1 HT 0-1 Knockbreda Knockbreda KİRL1
01.04.2023 Knockbreda Knockbreda 3-2 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
26.11.2022 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-1 HT 0-1 Knockbreda Knockbreda KİRL1
01.10.2022 Knockbreda Knockbreda 1-2 HT 1-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ballinamallard United
6-1
AWAY Knockbreda
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 3
11 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Knockbreda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United ran out comfortable winners over Knockbreda 6-1. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ballinamallard United as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ballinamallard United had 62% of the ball to Knockbreda's 38%, shots finished 13-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballinamallard United had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ballinamallard United and 1.17 for Knockbreda.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Knockbreda?

Ballinamallard United 6-1 Knockbreda in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Knockbreda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 61%, draw 22%, Knockbreda 17%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballinamallard United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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