03/02/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Coast Stima vs Gusii Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
36%
Home Win
37%
28%
Draw
27%
36%
Away Win
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Coast Stima v Gusii — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Coast Stima
The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gusii
The Market 40%
+6% /
+6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-52% /
-52%
2.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/3.00
+82%
/
-51%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+3%
/
-68%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
9
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
342 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
350 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Coast Stima vs Gusii
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Coast Stima squeezed past Gusii 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Coast Stima made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Coast Stima vs Gusii?
Coast Stima 2-1 Gusii in the Kenya - Super League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Coast Stima vs Gusii?
Before kick-off our model rated a Coast Stima win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Coast Stima 36%, draw 28%, Gusii 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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3 Feb 2024