Jaguares De Cordoba 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.14/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.07
-13% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
18.5 Crosses 17.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.89 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
297 Passes 344
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.08.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 3-0 HT 1-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
11.02.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
21.09.2022 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
26.03.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
10.08.2021 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-1 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
25.01.2021 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba
0-1
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.77 xG 0.70
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
346 Passes 194
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jaguares De Cordoba vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga squeezed past Jaguares De Cordoba 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Jaguares De Cordoba at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Jaguares De Cordoba had 61% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 39%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.77 to 0.70 — on chances, Jaguares De Cordoba could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jaguares De Cordoba and 1.17 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Jaguares De Cordoba vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Jaguares De Cordoba 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaguares De Cordoba vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jaguares De Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jaguares De Cordoba 43%, draw 29%, Atletico Bucaramanga 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jaguares De Cordoba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jaguares De Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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