Etoile de lEst 0-2 Mukura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ruanda - National Futbol League, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.09
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No Pick
55%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
17%
+11.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile de lEst The Market 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Mukura The Market 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Etoile de lEst vs Mukura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mukura saw off Etoile de lEst 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mukura as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Etoile de lEst vs Mukura?

Etoile de lEst 0-2 Mukura in the Ruanda - National Futbol League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile de lEst vs Mukura?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mukura win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Etoile de lEst 28%, draw 23%, Mukura 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mukura), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mukura) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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