03/02/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Domagnano vs Folgore Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
42%
4-5
15%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
40%
29%
Draw
32%
34%
Away Win
28%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Domagnano v Folgore — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Domagnano
The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Folgore
The Market 32%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
359 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
371 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Domagnano vs Folgore
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Domagnano squeezed past Folgore 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Domagnano found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Domagnano vs Folgore?
Domagnano 1-0 Folgore in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Domagnano vs Folgore?
Before kick-off our model rated a Domagnano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Domagnano 38%, draw 29%, Folgore 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Domagnano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Domagnano)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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SANM
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3 Feb 2024