Panserraikos 1-1 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.4
6+ Goals
10%
22.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
5.87
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
10%
7.23
X/2
11%
4.22
X/X
9%
4.11
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
25%
2.76
2/X
7%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
26%
+10.1pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 50%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.00/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.76
+11% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
Crosses 13.6
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.25 xG 1.51
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
150 Passes 489
64% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 27
6 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
20.03.2011 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-1 HT 3-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
28.11.2010 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
27.11.2010 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
22.03.2009 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-2 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
30.11.2008 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
1-1
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.91 xG 0.29
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 0
307 Passes 379
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos and Aris Saloniki shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Panserraikos had 45% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 55%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.91 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Panserraikos and 1.33 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs Aris Saloniki?

Panserraikos 1-1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 36%, draw 23%, Aris Saloniki 41%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aris Saloniki)
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