Sigma Olomouc 2-1 Viktoria Plzen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 3 Feb 2025

Sigma Olomouc
2-1 HT 2-1
Viktoria Plzen
📅03/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Czech Republic - Czech Liga – 2024/2025

Sigma Olomouc vs Viktoria Plzen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
47%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.36
6+ Goals
9%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 29% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sigma Olomouc v Viktoria Plzen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 60%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
0.78/2.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.57
+16% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
225 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.7
17.5 Crosses 30.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Sigma Olomouc vs Viktoria Plzen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sigma Olomouc
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.05 xG 3.09
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
296 Passes 221
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-1 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
17.12.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-3 HT 1-2 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
16.11.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-3 HT 1-2 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEKK
20.08.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-1 HT 2-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
13.05.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-3 HT 1-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
04.03.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-1 HT 0-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK

Sigma Olomouc 2-1 Viktoria Plzen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sigma Olomouc
2-1
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
1.78 xG 1.19
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 10
185 Passes 250
59% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sigma Olomouc vs Viktoria Plzen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sigma Olomouc squeezed past Viktoria Plzen 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Viktoria Plzen at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sigma Olomouc had 45% of the ball to Viktoria Plzen's 55%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 1.78 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 2.00 for Viktoria Plzen.

What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs Viktoria Plzen?

Sigma Olomouc 2-1 Viktoria Plzen in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sigma Olomouc vs Viktoria Plzen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sigma Olomouc 28%, draw 25%, Viktoria Plzen 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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