Hemel Hempstead Town 3-4 Boreham Wood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.47
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.12
6+ Goals
9%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 28% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-10.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 62%
+7% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.40/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.85
+20% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
247 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
3-4
AWAY Boreham Wood
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Boreham Wood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood nicked a narrow win over Hemel Hempstead Town 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Boreham Wood as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 46% of the ball to Boreham Wood's 54%, shots finished 9-15.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Boreham Wood?

Hemel Hempstead Town 3-4 Boreham Wood in the England - Conference on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Boreham Wood?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 27%, draw 25%, Boreham Wood 48%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boreham Wood) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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