KR Reykjavik 2-0 Keflavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.3
Draw
25%
5.28
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.43
No
49%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-15.1pp
25%
Draw
16%
+9.9pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
66%
-14.6pp
49%
BTTS No
34%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Keflavik EU Bookmakers 16%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
4.12/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/2.20
+54% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +24%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Keflavik
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.44 xG 0.68
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
342 Passes 218
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
40 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-0 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
15.04.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 0-2 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
15.08.2022 Keflavik Keflavik 0-0 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
16.05.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
26.02.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-1 HT 1-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
11.09.2021 Keflavik Keflavik 0-2 HT 0-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KR Reykjavik
2-0
AWAY Keflavik
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs Keflavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik saw off Keflavik 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KR Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KR Reykjavik had 62% of the ball to Keflavik's 38%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for KR Reykjavik and 0.17 for Keflavik.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

KR Reykjavik 2-0 Keflavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 57%, draw 25%, Keflavik 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KR Reykjavik) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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