Arema Malang vs Bali United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arema Malang v Bali United — Team-Based Signals
Arema Malang vs Bali United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Bali United
ENDL1
1-2
HT 1-1
Arema Malang
ENDL1
2-1
HT 1-1
Arema Malang
ENDL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Bali United
ENDL1
3-2
HT 2-1
Bali United
ENDL1
Arema Malang 1-0 Bali United — Actual Match Statistics
Arema Malang nicked a narrow win over Bali United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Bali United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Arema Malang had 55% of the ball to Bali United's 45%, shots finished 11-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Arema Malang and 1.33 for Bali United.
What was the final score of Arema Malang vs Bali United?
Arema Malang 1-0 Bali United in the Indonesia League 1 on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arema Malang vs Bali United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arema Malang 32%, draw 27%, Bali United 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.