Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-1 Dire Dawa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.47
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-7.2pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.5pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.3pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1-1
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
33% Ball Possession 67%
1 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Dire Dawa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Dire Dawa Kenema couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 34% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Welwalo Adigrat Uni had 33% of the ball to Dire Dawa Kenema's 67%, shots finished 1-6.

What was the final score of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-1 Dire Dawa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dire Dawa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Welwalo Adigrat Uni 30%, draw 34%, Dire Dawa Kenema 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dire Dawa Kenema), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dire Dawa Kenema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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