Diala 3-1 Naft Maysan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
32%
-4.5pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+3.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.1pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diala EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Diala vs Naft Maysan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diala saw off Naft Maysan 3-1.

Our pre-match lean was Naft Maysan at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Diala vs Naft Maysan?

Diala 3-1 Naft Maysan in the Iraq - Premier League on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diala vs Naft Maysan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naft Maysan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Diala 30%, draw 27%, Naft Maysan 43%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Naft Maysan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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