Asyut Petroleum 2-1 Sporting Alexandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asyut Petroleum EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Alexandria EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.46/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.67
+12% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +53%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asyut Petroleum
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sporting Alexandria
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
08.10.2024 Sporting Alexandria 2-0 HT 0-0 Asyut Petroleum Asyut Petroleum MSR2
POST-MATCH Asyut Petroleum vs Sporting Alexandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asyut Petroleum squeezed past Sporting Alexandria 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Asyut Petroleum as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Asyut Petroleum vs Sporting Alexandria?

Asyut Petroleum 2-1 Sporting Alexandria in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asyut Petroleum vs Sporting Alexandria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asyut Petroleum win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Asyut Petroleum 48%, draw 28%, Sporting Alexandria 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asyut Petroleum) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Asyut Petroleum) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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