03/02/2025
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
El Gounah vs Team Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over
56%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
33%
4-5
28%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
El Gounah win — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
57%
Home Win
66%
22%
Draw
21%
21%
Away Win
13%
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
50%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Gounah v Team — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
El Gounah
The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY
Team
The Market 16%
+16% /
+16%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+96% /
+96%
2.27/0.27
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/0.00
+22%
/
+72%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+150%
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
15
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
286 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
269 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
El Gounah 3-1 Team — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
El Gounah
3-1
AWAY
Team
57%
Ball Possession
43%
18
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Target
3
2
Corners
6
1
Yellow Cards
1
POST-MATCH
El Gounah vs Team
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
El Gounah got the better of Team 3-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had El Gounah as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, El Gounah had 57% of the ball to Team's 43%, shots finished 18-7.
What was the final score of El Gounah vs Team?
El Gounah 3-1 Team in the Egypt - Cup on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Gounah vs Team?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Gounah win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 57%, draw 22%, Team 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Gounah), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (El Gounah)
✓ Over 2.5
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