Libertad 5-2 Deportivo Recoleta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.42
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
66%
-17.1pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.8pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+15% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
5-2
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Deportivo Recoleta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad ran out comfortable winners over Deportivo Recoleta 5-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Libertad had 63% of the ball to Deportivo Recoleta's 37%, shots finished 17-11.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Libertad 5-2 Deportivo Recoleta in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Libertad 49%, draw 29%, Deportivo Recoleta 22%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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