Torque 1-0 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
52%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+10.2pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.8pp
52%
Away Win
66%
-14.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torque EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 70%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.11/2.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.77
+37% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +3%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torque
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nacional de Football
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-1 HT 0-1 Torque Torque URU
15.05.2023 Torque Torque 0-4 HT 0-4 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
28.08.2022 Torque Torque 0-3 HT 0-2 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
14.03.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-1 HT 1-0 Torque Torque URU
04.11.2021 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-0 HT 1-0 Torque Torque URU
12.07.2021 Torque Torque 3-0 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torque
1-0
AWAY Nacional de Football
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torque vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torque nicked a narrow win over Nacional de Football 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nacional de Football at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Torque had 40% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 60%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Torque and 1.83 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Torque vs Nacional de Football?

Torque 1-0 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torque vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Torque 24%, draw 24%, Nacional de Football 52%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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