Chorley vs Leamington Prediction — Model Probabilities
Chorley v Leamington — Team-Based Signals
Chorley vs Leamington Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chorley 1-1 Leamington — Actual Match Statistics
Chorley and Leamington shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chorley at 71% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, possession split 55% to 45% in Chorley's favour, shots finished 21-4.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Chorley against 1.33 for Leamington.
Chorley vs Leamington Result & Final Score
Chorley 1 - 1 Leamington in the England - Conference on 03/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Chorley vs Leamington Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Chorley 71%, draw 18%, Leamington 11%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.