Zhejiang G. FC 1-0 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.23
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
24%
4.18
X/2
11%
8.96
X/X
9%
5.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.4
2/2
9%
6.38
2/X
8%
14.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.4 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 26%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+65% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.38 xG 0.41
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
475 Passes 189
88% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-5 HT 0-3 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
02.06.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİN
03.11.2022 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİN
05.08.2022 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
1-0
AWAY Shenzhen FC
0.55 xG 1.42
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
248 Passes 369
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 37
7 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zhejiang G. FC vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhejiang G. FC nicked a narrow win over Shenzhen FC 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zhejiang G. FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zhejiang G. FC had 42% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 58%, shots finished 5-25, expected goals 0.55 to 1.42 — the balance of chances actually favoured Shenzhen FC.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Zhejiang G. FC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Zhejiang G. FC and 0.50 for Shenzhen FC.

What was the final score of Zhejiang G. FC vs Shenzhen FC?

Zhejiang G. FC 1-0 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhejiang G. FC vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zhejiang G. FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Zhejiang G. FC 54%, draw 22%, Shenzhen FC 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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