Hearts 2-0 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 3 Mar 2024

Hearts
2-0 HT 1-0
Celtic
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Hearts vs Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
56%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.76
6+ Goals
12%
7.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
9.95
1/2
7%
20.6
1/X
5%
17.6
X/1
10%
13.65
X/2
11%
3.77
X/X
9%
6.85
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
37%
1.73
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
17.15
Value flag · 2/X at 17.15 — our 9% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+4.4pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.7pp
56%
Away Win
63%
-7.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hearts v Celtic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 67%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
0.89/2.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/0.89
-34% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -17%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 84%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.7
15.2 Crosses 24.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.4

Hearts vs Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Celtic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.97 xG 2.37
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
206 Passes 520
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Celtic Celtic 0-2 HT 0-2 Hearts Hearts İKP
22.10.2023 Hearts Hearts 1-4 HT 0-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
07.05.2023 Hearts Hearts 0-2 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
11.03.2023 Hearts Hearts 0-3 HT 0-2 Celtic Celtic İKK
08.03.2023 Celtic Celtic 3-1 HT 1-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
22.10.2022 Hearts Hearts 3-4 HT 1-1 Celtic Celtic İKP

Hearts 2-0 Celtic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
2-0
AWAY Celtic
1.65 xG 2.42
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
392 Passes 433
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts got the better of Celtic 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Celtic at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hearts had 48% of the ball to Celtic's 52%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.65 to 2.42 — the balance of chances actually favoured Celtic.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hearts and 2.67 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Celtic?

Hearts 2-0 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hearts 21%, draw 23%, Celtic 56%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Celtic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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