Hearts vs Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hearts v Celtic — Team-Based Signals
Hearts vs Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hearts 2-0 Celtic — Actual Match Statistics
Hearts put daylight between themselves and Celtic 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Celtic at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Celtic saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.65 to 2.42 — by the quality of chances, Celtic deserved more.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Hearts against 2.67 for Celtic.
Hearts vs Celtic Result & Final Score
Hearts 2 - 0 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hearts vs Celtic Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Hearts 13%, draw 19%, Celtic 68%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.