03/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Voghera vs Gozzano Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
43%
4-5
17%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
34%
26%
Draw
30%
36%
Away Win
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Voghera v Gozzano — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Voghera
The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gozzano
The Market 39%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
330 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
344 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Voghera vs Gozzano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Voghera and Gozzano shared the points in a 2-2 draw.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Voghera vs Gozzano?
Voghera 2-2 Gozzano in the Italy - Serie D on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Voghera vs Gozzano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Voghera win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Voghera 38%, draw 26%, Gozzano 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Voghera)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
3 Mar 2024