Penya Encarnada 2-1 Ordino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.8pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.8pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordino EU Bookmakers 29%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.54/1.12
+53% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +131% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penya Encarnada
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ordino
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.12.2023 Ordino Ordino 1-0 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
22.10.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 2-1 HT 1-1 Ordino Ordino AND
02.04.2023 Ordino Ordino 1-1 HT 1-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
05.03.2023 Ordino Ordino 0-3 HT 0-1 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
27.11.2022 Ordino Ordino 1-1 HT 1-1 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
30.10.2022 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 1-0 HT 0-0 Ordino Ordino AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Penya Encarnada
2-1
AWAY Ordino
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Penya Encarnada vs Ordino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penya Encarnada squeezed past Ordino 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Penya Encarnada as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Penya Encarnada had 51% of the ball to Ordino's 49%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penya Encarnada had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Penya Encarnada and 0.67 for Ordino.

What was the final score of Penya Encarnada vs Ordino?

Penya Encarnada 2-1 Ordino in the Andorra - 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penya Encarnada vs Ordino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penya Encarnada win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Penya Encarnada 45%, draw 20%, Ordino 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penya Encarnada) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Penya Encarnada) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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