SV Horn 1-0 Admira Wacker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
32%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.27
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
14.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
4.84
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X EV+ ✗
14%
13.45
X/1
18%
6.68
X/2
12%
4.72
X/X
13%
4.58
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.97
2/X
8%
13.15
Value flag · 1/X at 13.45 — our 14% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.9pp
35%
Draw
27%
+8.5pp
32%
Away Win
43%
-11.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Horn EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Admira Wacker EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
0.77/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.59
+0% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
11.7 Crosses 13.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Horn
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Admira Wacker
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.08.2023 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 1-0 HT 1-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
02.04.2023 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 0-0 HT 0-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
09.10.2022 SV Horn SV Horn 2-1 HT 1-1 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
16.01.2015 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 3-1 HT 2-1 SV Horn SV Horn HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Horn
1-0
AWAY Admira Wacker
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 8
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH SV Horn vs Admira Wacker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Horn squeezed past Admira Wacker 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 35% / 32% — and on the day SV Horn made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, SV Horn had 52% of the ball to Admira Wacker's 48%, shots finished 5-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Admira Wacker led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for SV Horn and 1.25 for Admira Wacker.

What was the final score of SV Horn vs Admira Wacker?

SV Horn 1-0 Admira Wacker in the Austria - 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Horn vs Admira Wacker?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split SV Horn 33%, draw 35%, Admira Wacker 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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