Moreton City II vs St George Willawong Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Moreton City II v St George Willawong — Team-Based Signals
St George Willawong saw off Moreton City II 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had St George Willawong as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Moreton City II vs St George Willawong?
Moreton City II 2-4 St George Willawong in the Australia - Queensland Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Moreton City II vs St George Willawong?
Before kick-off our model rated an St George Willawong win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Moreton City II 21%, draw 32%, St George Willawong 47%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St George Willawong), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.